NATIONAL'S 100-DAY PLAN: 26 PROMISES, BUT WILL NEW ZEALANDERS BE BETTER OFF?

From supermarket competition to KiwiSaver and council rates, National's election blueprint faces a tougher test than political delivery


National Party. Photograph: Nosiphi Mapukata / RNZ.


Christopher Luxon has unveiled a 26-point programme for the first 100 days of a re-elected National-led government, promising action on household costs, public services, criminal justice and economic growth. But behind the headlines lies a critical distinction between passing laws, announcing investigations and delivering measurable improvements in the lives of ordinary New Zealanders.


Report by eLocal | 25 October 2026

A Plan for Government, or a Plan for Results?

With New Zealand's general election approaching, National has released a 26-point programme setting out what it intends to do during its first 100 days if returned to office.

Announcing the plan at a campaign rally in Browns Bay, Auckland, Prime Minister and National Party leader Christopher Luxon acknowledged that the election would be close.

He argued that repairing the economic and institutional problems National says it inherited from Labour requires more than a single parliamentary term.

The programme brings together existing campaign commitments, proposed legislation, administrative changes and several initiatives already under development.

Among its more prominent proposals are measures targeting supermarket competition, council rates, retirement savings, paid parental leave, healthcare, education and criminal justice.

But the central question is not whether National can complete 26 administrative tasks in 100 days.

Will this in fact make New Zealand stronger?

That requires examining what each proposal is likely to change, who benefits, who bears the costs and whether the reforms will increase purchasing power, productive investment, economic resilience and individual opportunity.

It also requires recognising that a first reading of legislation is not the same as a law being passed, and that passing legislation is not the same as achieving its intended result.

Supermarkets: The Most Important Competition Test

One of the plan's potentially significant economic commitments concerns New Zealand's highly concentrated supermarket sector.

National proposes strengthening the Commerce Commission's powers and requiring it to report within six months on separating the Foodstuffs businesses operating New World and PAK'nSAVE.

For ordinary households, this could prove more consequential than many of the programme's other announcements.

Food prices affect virtually every New Zealander, particularly families, pensioners and lower-income households whose budgets leave little room for increases in essential spending.

The fundamental issue is whether New Zealand's grocery market has sufficient competitive pressure to restrain prices, encourage innovation and provide consumers with genuine choice.

A separation of supermarket operations could, in principle, increase competition between businesses that currently operate within the same wider cooperative structures.

However, separating brands or corporate entities does not automatically create effective competition.

The real test would be whether the resulting businesses compete independently over purchasing, wholesale supply, pricing, distribution, property access and relationships with suppliers.

If existing barriers to entry remain intact, a structural separation could produce more corporate entities without delivering materially lower grocery bills.

There is also a risk of disruption or additional costs if a separation is poorly designed.

National's proposal deserves serious consideration because competition policy can address underlying market structures rather than merely subsidising consumers.

But the public should demand measurable outcomes.

Will supermarket margins decline? Will suppliers receive fairer treatment? Will independent retailers gain better access to wholesale products? And, most importantly, will grocery prices become more competitive?

The Commerce Commission's investigation should be judged by those questions, not simply by whether a report is delivered within six months.

Council Rates: A Cap Could Help Households, but Where Do the Costs Go?

National proposes passing legislation to limit annual council rates increases to a range of 2 to 4 percent.

For homeowners facing repeated increases in rates, the attraction is obvious.

Council rates are a compulsory household expense. They also affect landlords, commercial property owners, farmers and businesses, with some costs ultimately flowing through to rents and consumer prices.

A credible constraint on rates growth could provide greater predictability and pressure councils to scrutinise spending.

However, the policy also raises difficult questions about local infrastructure and financial responsibility.

Councils face costs associated with roads, water systems, wastewater, stormwater, public facilities and regulatory obligations.

Some of those costs reflect historical underinvestment, rising construction expenses or requirements imposed by central government.

If councils are prevented from increasing rates beyond a specified limit, they may respond by reducing services, deferring maintenance, increasing debt or relying more heavily on fees and charges.

That would not necessarily represent a genuine reduction in the cost of local government.

It could simply move the bill elsewhere.

A successful rates cap therefore requires more than a numerical ceiling.

It should be accompanied by transparent council accounts, realistic infrastructure funding, disciplined procurement and a clear examination of statutory obligations imposed on local authorities.

Otherwise, a policy intended to protect households could create larger infrastructure liabilities for future ratepayers.

KiwiSaver: Stronger Retirement Savings, but Less Money Today

National intends to introduce changes to KiwiSaver as part of a wider policy to strengthen retirement savings.

Its election proposals include making retirement-saving contributions compulsory for workers from July 2028, increasing contribution rates over time and providing a $1,500 government contribution for newborn children.

The party also proposes extending employer KiwiSaver contributions to eligible workers over 65 and supporting contributions during paid parental leave.

There is a legitimate economic argument for increasing national savings.

Higher long-term savings can strengthen retirement security and, depending on how funds are invested, provide capital for productive businesses and infrastructure.

However, compulsory savings involve a trade-off that should not be concealed.

Money directed into KiwiSaver is generally money that cannot be used immediately for groceries, rent, mortgage repayments or other household expenses.

For workers already struggling with living costs, higher contributions may place additional pressure on short-term finances.

Employers also face increased employment costs, which can influence wage negotiations, hiring decisions and business investment.

Whether compulsory contributions ultimately improve workers' total financial position depends on wages, tax treatment, employer responses, investment returns and the design of the scheme.

Another question deserves greater attention.

How much of New Zealanders' retirement savings will support productive investment within New Zealand, rather than primarily flowing into existing financial assets or overseas markets?

A stronger savings system should ideally strengthen both individual retirement security and the country's productive capacity.

Those objectives are related, but they are not automatically identical.

Housing: Easier Deposits Do Not Guarantee Affordable Homes

National proposes increasing the First Home Loan income cap to $300,000, potentially allowing more households to qualify for loans requiring smaller deposits.

This could help some aspiring buyers who have sufficient income to service a mortgage but struggle to accumulate a conventional deposit.

However, easing access to credit does not necessarily make housing more affordable.

If housing supply remains constrained, additional purchasing power can contribute to stronger competition for existing properties and potentially higher prices.

A household entering the market with a smaller deposit may also take on greater financial exposure.

That makes the wider supply environment crucial.

Land availability, infrastructure capacity, building costs, consenting delays and competition in construction all influence housing affordability.

The real measure of success should not simply be how many additional buyers qualify for lending assistance.

It should be whether ordinary New Zealanders can purchase suitable homes without taking on excessive debt relative to their incomes.

Student Loans: More Take-Home Pay for Graduates

National proposes reducing the domestic student loan repayment rate from 12 cents to 10 cents in the dollar.

This would leave affected borrowers with more take-home pay.

For example, on $20,000 of annual income subject to student loan repayments above the applicable threshold, the difference between the two rates would be $400 a year.

The precise benefit depends on the borrower's earnings and the repayment threshold.

For younger workers, this could help with rent, transport, household expenses or saving for a first home.

It may also improve the attractiveness of remaining in New Zealand for some graduates.

But the proposal has a fiscal cost because loans would generally be repaid more slowly.

The government would need to explain how that cost is accommodated within its wider budget and debt objectives.

The measure is potentially useful, but it is not a substitute for an economy capable of producing higher real wages and better career opportunities.

Paid Parental Leave: A Benefit Delivered Over Years, Not 100 Days

National proposes extending paid parental leave from 26 to 30 weeks over the next parliamentary term.

Its timetable would increase the entitlement to 27 weeks from July 2027, 28 weeks in July 2028 and 30 weeks in July 2029.

It also proposes allowing parents greater flexibility to share or overlap their leave.

For families welcoming a child, additional paid leave could improve financial security and provide more time for parental care.

These are meaningful objectives.

However, the distinction between the 100-day plan and actual delivery is important.

The commitment is to begin the legislative process promptly. The additional weeks would arrive progressively over several years.

The policy should therefore be assessed on its full implementation timetable, funding arrangements and accessibility to different kinds of families.

Parents who are self-employed, working irregular hours or moving between jobs may face different circumstances from those in conventional salaried employment.

A well-designed policy should account for those differences rather than assuming all families have the same financial arrangements.

Healthcare: Medicines, Screening and the Foreign Aid Trade-Off

National proposes redirecting foreign aid funding to increase Pharmac's budget.

It also promises free cervical screening for women aged 25 to 69 and a longer-term target for cancer clinical trial participation.

The healthcare measures have the potential to produce tangible benefits.

Earlier diagnosis and access to effective medicines can improve health outcomes and, in some circumstances, reduce the costs associated with more advanced disease.

But the proposed funding shift deserves scrutiny.

Foreign aid is not simply an accounting line without consequences.

New Zealand's development assistance contributes to relationships and programmes overseas, particularly in the Pacific, where public health, economic resilience and regional stability can have direct implications for New Zealand.

Reducing that assistance could have diplomatic or humanitarian consequences depending on which programmes lose funding.

Conversely, additional domestic healthcare spending may be justified if it delivers demonstrably better outcomes for New Zealand patients.

The government should identify the precise programmes being reduced, the amount redirected and the expected health benefits.

Without those details, voters cannot properly assess the trade-off.

Education: The Test Is Learning, Not the Number of New Rules

National's plan includes expanding its Maths Acceleration Programme, developing a School Start Check and restricting the use of screens in early childhood education and the first three years of primary school.

The underlying concern is legitimate.

Literacy, numeracy and foundational learning influence children's future employment opportunities, productivity and independence.

There are reasonable grounds to question whether unrestricted screen use is always beneficial in early learning environments.

However, the educational value of technology depends on how it is used, for what purpose and with what supervision.

A blanket assumption that all digital learning is harmful would be no more useful than assuming all technology improves education.

The government should evaluate outcomes through independent measures of reading, writing, mathematics, attendance and student wellbeing.

If these initiatives improve foundational learning, they could deliver substantial long-term economic and social benefits.

If they merely increase administrative requirements without improving classroom outcomes, their value would be far more limited.

Criminal Justice: Public Safety and Fundamental Rights

Several commitments concern criminal justice.

National proposes modernising sexual consent laws so that consent must be actively given, removing the ability to rely on good character or public standing as a mitigating factor in sexual-offence sentencing, and establishing a dedicated Auckland Transport Police Team.

It also intends to progress a new offence relating to remaining silent when a child has been killed, with a proposed maximum penalty of 10 years' imprisonment.

These proposals address serious matters.

Victims of sexual violence deserve effective legal protection, fair treatment and a justice system capable of responding to offending.

People using public transport should also be able to travel safely.

However, criminal law must be precise.

Changes to consent legislation should clearly define the conduct prohibited and preserve fair trial protections.

Proposals involving a failure to disclose information about a child's death require particular care.

Lawmakers would need to consider who has a duty to report, what knowledge must be proved, what exceptions may apply and how the offence interacts with the right against self-incrimination.

The objective of protecting children is compelling.

But effective legislation must be capable of surviving legal scrutiny and operating fairly in practice.

More severe penalties and additional offences are not, by themselves, evidence that crime will decline.

Investigation quality, prevention, prosecution capacity and enforcement remain essential.

Online Safety: Protecting Children Without Creating Unnecessary Surveillance

National also intends to progress the Online Safety (Minimum Age and Child Safety Risk Assessment) Bill.

The proposal raises an important tension between protecting children online and preserving the privacy and rights of the wider public.

There are legitimate concerns about harmful online content, exploitation, excessive screen use and the commercial incentives of social media platforms.

But any age-verification system must be assessed for its practical consequences.

Will it require users to provide identity documents?

Will private companies collect or retain sensitive personal information?

Could compliance requirements disadvantage smaller New Zealand platforms while strengthening the position of dominant international technology companies?

What safeguards will prevent information gathered for age verification from being used for unrelated purposes?

These are not arguments against protecting children.

They are questions about whether the proposed method achieves that protection without creating new risks.

A credible law should establish clear limits on data collection, independent oversight and meaningful accountability for platforms.

India: A Trade Mission Is Only the Beginning

National proposes launching a trade mission to India involving food, beverage and seafood exporters following the recent entry into force of the bilateral free trade agreement.

Improved access to India's large consumer market could create opportunities for New Zealand exporters.

That matters for a country dependent on earning foreign income to pay for imported fuel, machinery, technology and manufactured goods.

But trade missions should be evaluated by their commercial outcomes.

How many new customers are secured?

How much additional export revenue is generated?

Are smaller New Zealand businesses able to participate, or do the benefits flow mainly to established exporters?

Does improved market access lead to greater investment and employment within New Zealand?

Trade agreements can open doors, but firms must still build distribution networks, meet regulatory requirements and compete successfully.

The government should publish measurable export objectives and report progress against them.

Energy: Household Independence Could Have Wider Benefits

The proposed Home Energy Fund would support low-cost loans for solar panels, batteries and insulation.

National also intends to progress safety rules for plug-in solar technology.

These initiatives could help households reduce their exposure to electricity prices and improve energy resilience.

Distributed generation and storage may also reduce pressure on electricity networks in some circumstances.

However, the economics depend on installation costs, financing terms, electricity tariffs, equipment performance and household consumption patterns.

Not every home will achieve the same savings.

A well-designed programme should provide transparent information about expected costs, repayment obligations and realistic financial returns.

It should also consider renters and lower-income households who may be unable to finance installations or make changes to properties they do not own.

Energy independence is a worthwhile objective, but public assistance should be structured to produce genuine long-term savings rather than simply subsidising equipment sales.

What Is Missing From the 100-Day Conversation?

The programme contains initiatives that could improve household finances and public services.

Yet some of New Zealand's deepest economic challenges cannot be resolved through short legislative timetables.

Productivity remains central.

New Zealand needs businesses capable of producing more value per hour worked, exporting competitively and paying higher real wages.

That requires reliable infrastructure, affordable energy, access to capital, effective competition, sound education and a regulatory environment that encourages productive investment.

It also requires confronting structural questions about the cost of housing, the concentration of market power and the incentives that favour ownership of existing assets over the creation of new productive capacity.

National's supermarket competition proposal touches one of those structural issues.

Its energy and savings policies could also contribute, depending on their design.

But the 100-day document is primarily a programme of early government actions, not a comprehensive demonstration of how national prosperity will be increased.

That distinction should be made clear to voters.

The Coalition Question

There is another political reality.

National's ability to deliver its programme would depend on the composition of the next Parliament and any agreements required to form a government.

Measures involving compulsory retirement savings, spending priorities, local government powers, criminal justice or online regulation could become subjects of coalition negotiation.

A commitment made during an election campaign is not necessarily a measure that will emerge unchanged from Parliament.

Voters should therefore distinguish between National's preferred programme and the legislation a future governing arrangement could actually pass.

That is especially important where proposals involve substantial fiscal commitments or changes to individual rights.

How Should New Zealanders Judge the Plan?

A useful test would be to separate the commitments into three categories.

Immediate administrative actions: Trade missions, ministerial directions, policy statements and the establishment of programmes.

Legislative milestones: Introducing bills, passing first readings, progressing laws and establishing regulatory powers.

Real-world outcomes: Lower household costs, stronger competition, improved health and educational results, higher incomes, safer communities and greater economic resilience.

The first two categories are comparatively easy for governments to count.

The third is what ultimately matters.

A government could complete all 26 actions within its stated timetable while leaving major household pressures largely unchanged.

Equally, some reforms may take years to deliver benefits and should not be dismissed simply because their results are not immediate.

The public needs transparent milestones, credible financial estimates and independent evaluation.

The Real 100-Day Test

Christopher Luxon's plan offers voters a reasonably clear indication of National's immediate priorities if re-elected.

Some proposals, particularly those concerning supermarket competition, household energy, education and healthcare, deserve careful consideration for their potential long-term benefits.

Others raise important questions about affordability, fiscal trade-offs, legal rights and implementation.

The central weakness of any 100-day programme is the temptation to equate political activity with achievement.

New Zealanders do not become wealthier because a bill is introduced.

They do not receive better healthcare because a target is announced.

And supermarket competition does not improve merely because an investigation is commissioned.

The test is what happens afterwards.

Do families retain more purchasing power?

Do businesses face fairer competition and better conditions for investment?

Are essential public services improving?

Does New Zealand become less dependent on expensive imports, excessive borrowing and concentrated economic power?

And are individual rights preserved while government exercises its authority?

National has outlined what it wants to begin.

The electorate must now decide whether those beginnings amount to a credible pathway towards a stronger, more prosperous and more independent New Zealand.

That is the standard against which this 100-day plan should be judged.

Sources

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